Monday, July 22, 2019


second round of debates

From Sunday, that's Isaiah's THE WORLD TODAY JUST NUTS "Next Round of Debates" and this is from THE HOLLYWOOD REPORTER:

When Netflix told shareholders last Wednesday that it had lost U.S. streaming customers for the first time in eight years and that just 2.7 million subscribers had been added overall in the second quarter, the company's stock immediately nosedived about 13 percent. Now, just days later, a Netflix shareholder has filed a putative class action over the company's missed projections.

I wonder if we all get how precarious NETFLIX's standing is?  It has never turned a profit.  Every year it has to borrow money just to hang on.  This has been going on for years.

If people walk out on the stocks, NETFLIX is over.

Going out with C.I.'s "Iraq snapshot:"

Monday, July 22, 2019.  The past continues to rebuke Joe Biden.

Next week, the Democratic Party holds their second round of debates for their presidential candidates (on July 30th and July 31st).  Right now, one of the 20 who made the cut seems determined to embarrass himself.

Yes, we're talking about War Hawk Joe.  Status quo Joe.  He voted for the Iraq War.  He sold the Iraq War before and after it started.  He wants to talk about Iraq . . . provided he can start the conversation after he's Vice President (2009) and end it at the end of 2011.  Salvador Rizzo (WASHINGTON POST) fact checks Joe on his Iraq withdrawal claims and comments:

Although Bush set the 2011 withdrawal time frame, the Obama administration had to figure out the logistics and details, and much of that work fell to Biden and his committee. The drawdown proceeded in phases, with U.S. forces dropping from 150,000 to 50,000 to almost zero during Obama’s first term.

However, the United States kept several thousand military contractors in Iraq throughout this time and after 2011. And although Obama promised to end the Iraq War as a candidate, there were bumps along the road that complicate Biden’s neatly wrapped-up story.
Before withdrawing forces in 2011, Obama’s administration tried to persuade Iraqi political leaders to allow a residual force of about 3,500 U.S. troops to remain. Some high-level officials in the Obama administration argued that a total withdrawal would open up a power vacuum in Iraq and erase the gains secured by U.S. forces and international allies.
“It was clear to me — and many others — that withdrawing all our forces would endanger the fragile stability then barely holding Iraq together,” Leon Panetta, who was Obama’s CIA director from 2009 to 2011 and defense secretary from 2011 to 2013, wrote in his memoir, “Worthy Fights.”

In 2011, the United States was seeking legal immunity for U.S. troops as part of an agreement for a continued military presence in Iraq. But there was no support in the Iraqi parliament for that, Biden’s advisers said.
[. . .]
Biden had a big hand in withdrawing U.S. forces from Iraq during Obama’s first term. It was a sensitive role and one Biden relished, by many accounts. But he was still the vice president during Obama’s second term, when thousands of U.S. troops returned to the country. It’s puzzling to see him leave that out of his remarks on the campaign trail and in the debate.
The Biden camp argues that these are two very different conflicts and that the troop levels were much higher pre-2011 and much lower post-2014. However, as top Obama administration officials have said in public, the two conflicts are inextricably linked. The Islamic State gained a foothold in Iraq in large part because U.S. forces had withdrawn.
Biden told half the story, so he gets Two Pinocchios.

Two Pinocchios.  Liar, liar pants on fire.  The Iraq War never ended.

Joe Biden isn't just wrong on almost every burning contemporary political issue in the United States. He also worked closely with George W. Bush to enthusiastically lead the charge to invade Iraq.

Gotta love centrist dems. You literally attack Bernie unprovoked and when you get the slightest push back on your BS you compare ppl to trump lol. Also whats bidens best legislation? Locking up black ppl? Voting against bussing? Voting for the Iraq war or siding with CC companies

Replying to 

I'm Joe Biden, I pushed a healthcare plan contrived by the Heritage Foundation, a right-wing think tank. Vote for me and I'll pass more corporate friendly policies. Iraq War? You got it. NAFTA? Sounds great. Wall Street bailout? No problem! Vote for me, I'm Joe Biden.

The press told you Joe Biden was inevitable and unbeatable.  Now he's double digit lead is over and, in some polls. he ahead of Senator Elizabeth Warren by 6% or less.  And it's only July.  Meaning?  Joe will tank further when the fall semester begins.  Joe has no youth support.  It's like a Young Republican circa 1968, they really don't exist and the few that are around tend to be pointed to and giggled over.

Joe is the past.  He offers no vision of the future.  He promises you he'll bring back the Obama Era -- the one that refused to do what was needed on climate change?  I saw that ridiculous interview with that woman who can no longer sing.  She spends 80% of her days in denial, she said, and 20% trying to do something.  And she thinks young people should lead because they know how serious the threat to the environment is.

That would be the same threat that existed in 2008.  And the singer -- who still had a voice then -- couldn't call out the inaction on climate change from 2009 through the start of 2017.  I'm remembering what Mick Jagger called the woman's autobiography -- AND A C**T TO SING WITH -- and starting to really grasp why.

That's the hypocrisy the youth will have to push past.  And it doesn't help Joe Biden.

Nothing does.

The reality is that Barack had eight years to do something serious about climate change and he offered meaningless and symbolic actions only.

Joe may have the luxury of returning to that era but neither the US nor the world has that luxury.

Joe normalized the Iraqi government.  Is anyone going to question him on that?

This would be the same government that still can't get it together.  Human Rights Watch notes today:

Iraqi authorities have failed to ensure for almost 30 years that Basra residents have sufficient safe drinking water, resulting in on-going health concerns, Human Rights Watch said in a report released today. The situation culminated in an acute water crisis that sent at least 118,000 people to hospital in 2018 and led to violent protests. 
The 128-page report, “Basra is Thirsty: Iraq’s Failure to Manage the Water Crisis,” found that the crisis is a result of complex factors that if left unaddressed will most likely result in future water-borne disease outbreaks and continued economic hardship. The authorities at the local and federal level have done little to address the underlying conditions causing the situation.
“Shortsighted politicians are citing increased rainfall as the reason they do not need to urgently deal with Basra’s persistent crisis,” said Lama Fakih, acting Middle East director at Human Rights Watch. “But Basra will continue to face acute water shortages and pollution crises in the coming years, with serious consequences, if the government doesn’t invest now in targeted, long-term, and badly needed improvements.”
Human Rights Watch interviewed 58 Basra residents, workers at private and public water facilities, and healthcare professionals, and reviewed water sample tests from the Shatt al-Arab river, treatment plants, and taps in homes. Human Rights Watch also interviewed representatives from Basra’s provincial council, governor’s office, and the Ministries of Water Resources, Municipalities and Public Works’ water and sewage departments, Health and Environment, and Agriculture, and analyzed academic and public health data and over 20 years of scientific and commercial satellite imagery of the region to substantiate many of the findings.
Basra’s primary water sources are the Shatt al-Arab river and its freshwater canals. Human Rights Watch found that Iraqi authorities have failed to properly manage and regulate Iraq’s water resources, depriving people in southern Iraq’s Basra governorate – four million people – of their right to safe drinking water for decades, including during the period of occupation by the US- and UK-led Coalition Provisional Authority. But multiple government failures since the 1980s, including poor management of upstream water sources, inadequate regulation of pollution and sewage, and chronic neglect and mismanagement of water infrastructure, have caused the quality of these waterways to deteriorate.

To cope with water pollution and shortages, Basra residents have had to rely on purchasing water. The high cost, especially during the crisis, falls hardest on poorer residents, and makes them particularly vulnerable to exposure to unsafe tap water.

There is no progress in Iraq.  ISIS is back on the rise as well.

Joe Biden is a part of that history.  He is not the path to a future the US needs -- or one that the world can afford.

Isaiah's THE WORLD TODAY JUST NUTS "Next Round of Debates" went up yesterday.  New content at THIRD:

Sunday, July 21, 2019

The box office

From BOX OFFICE MOJO this is the weekend estimate:

1 N The Lion King (2019) BV $185,000,000 - 4,725 - $39,153 $185,000,000 - 1
2 1 Spider-Man: Far from Home Sony $21,000,000 -53.7% 4,415 -219 $4,757 $319,659,412 $160 3
3 2 Toy Story 4 BV $14,600,000 -30.3% 3,750 -460 $3,893 $375,533,349 - 5
4 3 Crawl Par. $6,000,000 -50.0% 3,170 - $1,893 $23,834,810 $13.5 2
5 5 Yesterday Uni. $5,100,000 -24.0% 2,662 -93 $1,916 $57,596,465 $26 4
6 4 Stuber Fox $4,000,000 -51.4% 3,050 - $1,311 $16,081,864 - 2
7 6 Aladdin (2019) BV $3,800,000 -38.4% 2,105 -452 $1,805 $340,040,714 $183 9
8 7 Annabelle Comes Home WB (NL) $2,660,000 -52.7% 1,981 -1,228 $1,343 $66,582,201 - 4
9 8 Midsommar A24 $1,599,155 -56.4% 1,105 -1,602 $1,447 $22,482,183 - 3
10 9 The Secret Life of Pets 2 Uni. $1,530,000 -52.3% 1,380 -940 $1,109 $151,551,165 $80 7
11 11 Avengers: Endgame BV $1,199,000 -43.0% 985 -458 $1,217 $854,216,193 $356 13
12 19 The Farewell A24 $1,171,570 +229.4% 35 +31 $33,473 $1,674,997 - 2
13 33 The Art of Self-Defense BST $1,055,658 +823.0% 550 +543 $1,919 $1,214,947 - 2
14 12 Rocketman Par. $980,000 -41.8% 720 -612 $1,361 $93,997,371 $40 8
15 13 John Wick: Chapter 3 - Parabellum LG/S $660,000 -50.5% 584 -561 $1,130 $168,891,227 - 10
16 10 Men in Black International Sony $505,000 -77.2% 554 -1,058 $912 $78,129,108 $110 6
17 14 Super 30 Relbig. $445,674 -48.8% 189 -128 $2,358 $1,735,375 - 2
18 27 Maiden SPC $255,715 +17.1% 84 +16 $3,044 $850,195 - 4
19 23 Wild Rose Neon $255,000 -13.9% 195 +34 $1,308 $1,169,663 - 5
20 18 The Last Black Man in San Francisco A24 $249,918 -30.6% 149 -58 $1,677 $3,829,483 - 7

My takeaway?

They've got nothing.  They're running on fumes -- the sstudios.  MEN IN BLACK INTENRATIONAL is a bomb and it's another reboot, reimagining.  THE LION KING and ALADDIN and DUMBO -- all live action DISNEY films -- remade from the animated versions.

YESTERDAY, STUBER, films that are new struggle and fail.

The studios need to learn how to tell stories and start telling some new ones.

Going out with C.I.'s "Iraq snapshot:"

Saturday, July 20, 2019.  Another VA scandal, the US State Dept 'honors' a murdered person by forgetting to name them, and we look some more at the Senate's Iraq hearing.

Yesterday on NPR's ALL THINGS CONSIDERED, Ari Shapiro explained the latest VA scandal, "The Department of Veterans Affairs has spent more than $25 million to help people with spina bifida, a debilitating spinal cord disease. Now, prosecutors say nearly 20 million of that money went to one fraudulent scheme led by a man who coordinated seven shell companies."

THE DAILY BEAST's Seamus Hughes joined the program to discuss the VA's Joseph Prince who ran a Denver call center.

HUGHES: And families of kids with spina bifida would call, and they would request services and reimbursement. And he would direct them towards the right folks. The right folks in this scenario were seven companies that he set up with his wife, his half-sister and a bunch of friends.

SHAPIRO: They were, in fact, the wrong folks.

HUGHES: Absolutely.

SHAPIRO: And what happened to the families of children with spina bifida once they were directed to these shell companies?

HUGHES: So what they would do is get paid about $15 to $16 an hour for taking care of their sick children, and then these companies would charge the VA $146. Allegedly, they would pocket the rest of the money, and then they would kick back Joseph Price something north of $1.5 million.

SHAPIRO: Has anyone other than Price been charged in this case?

HUGHES: One other individual - he's going to plead out next week.

SHAPIRO: And yet, with seven shell companies, you would have to think this must not be over.

HUGHES: Yeah. I think you're talking about a massive investigation. In fact, they've filed 40 seizure notices to seven different companies and a bunch of different bank accounts. I think it's still ongoing.

SHAPIRO: Did this affect the people who are struggling with this debilitating spinal cord disease?

HUGHES: You know, they thought that when they called Joseph Price, they would get someone who would help them. And in many ways, he directed them - he said, you know, here's a form. Here's the company you should use. It made it easy for them, but in actuality, he's - you know, it's basically a scheme. He used these individuals and tricked them and made something that should've been an easy thing in their life a lot harder.

[. . .]

SHAPIRO: Almost $20 million - that's a lot of money. How did Joseph Prince spend this?

HUGHES: So if you look at the seizure notice that's been filed in court records, you know, you had some folks of part of this scheme spending $120,000 on furniture, another $30,000 in plastic surgery, paying off student loans, buying houses, beachfront property.

SHAPIRO: Tell me about where the VA sits in all of this because the Veterans Affairs Department has had a lot of scandals, and this is yet another.

HUGHES: It is yet another. Now, we should note that this was investigated with the VA inspector general's office. The concern here is that this scheme went on for at least a year, and so the tripwires didn't happen until $18 million had already left the stables. And so you would hope that they set up some sort of system so that they don't have to wait 365 days till they figure out what's happening.

SHAPIRO: The question is, if somebody like Joseph Prince was allegedly able to do this, is somebody else doing it with a different fund for a different disease?

HUGHES: Exactly. I mean, it raises questions about oversight. It raises questions about whether there is enough checks and balances in the system.

SHAPIRO: He allegedly did that, according to prosecutors.

Click here for the report Hughes did with Lachlan Markay for THE DAILY BEAST.

Yet another VA scandal.

Congress is supposed to provide oversight.  Supposed to.

Wednesday, we noted some of the hearing entitled  "Iraq: A Crossroads of US Policy."  The hearing was held by the Near East Subcommittee of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee.  Senator Mitt Romney is the Subcommittee Chair and Senator Chris Murphy is the Ranking Member.   Appearing before the Subcommittee was the State Dept's Joan Polaschik (Acting Principal Deputy Assistant Secretary, Bureau of Near Eastern Affairs) and the Defense Dept's Michael P. Mulroy (Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense for the Middle East).

Mitt Romney spent his time largely noting -- and lamenting -- Iraq's oil and other "significant natural resources" and the failure "to exploit them."  He also moaned over a $53 billion deal ExxonMobil had that had been "placed on hold."

The hearing existed to pivot for continued war yet again.  Even ISIS isn't enough to justify US troops for the Senate these days so they have a new rationale to keep US troops on the ground in Iraq -- to neutralize the influence from neighboring Iran.

I'd noted that we'd cover the amount of State staffers in Baghdad next time so let's pick up there.

Ranking Member Chris Murphy:  . . . something that I want you to address which is a report over the weekend -- a really disturbing report suggesting that the Embassy in Baghdad is down to 15 functional, political staffers.  Help me understand the conundrum that I laid out in my opening remarks which is how do we maintain our political mission in Baghdad if we have pulled so many of our personnel out of Baghdad if we are down to 15 functioning, political staffers in Baghdad.  And if we were able to maintain a full diplomatic corp there during the height of the Iraq War in the 2000s, why can't we do the same today?  The report from this weekend suggests that this is a permanent decision that we -- that State has made a decision that they are going to keep these low level staff for a -- for a time uncertain.  So given that report, I was wondering if you could clarify some of that for the Committee today?

 Joan Polaschik: Of course.  First, I'd like to go back a couple of months to early May where we faced a very serious, specific, credible threat stream against US personnel in Iraq and that threat stream has not diminished.  It's still there.  So that was the reason that Embassy Baghdad requested authorization to go to go to ordered departure status and the Secretary of State approved that on May 14th.  This is a temporary situation.  Ordered departure is something that is done in thirty day increments.  We constantly evaluate the situation looking closely at the threat information that we have and the personnel on the ground to make sure that we've got the right-right fit.  And the Secretary just renewed the ordered departure status on July 12th for another thirty days.  I would prefer not to into specific numbers of personnel that we have on the ground in this open setting but I would be very, very happy to brief you later.  I would note again though that this is just a temporary decision.  We have not made any decisions to permanently withdraw our staff.  We are constantly evaluating the situation.  And it is certainly the hope that we are able to have a maximum presence on the ground in order to achieve all of the important objectives that we have.

Senator Chris Murphy:  Without -- Certainly, without getting into the classified threat assessment, I think it's -- I think it's hard to suggest that the threat is higher today than it was during the height of the insurgency and the fighting in and around Baghdad.  And so while I would never second guess security decisions, I would hope that if there is a long term decision made to have lower levels of staffing there that we start to think about how to increase security so that we can return to some level of political functionality.  Because if we don't, if we maintain a dozen or two dozen political staffers there, it is an invitation for ISIS to re-emerge because we are not there helping Iraqis do the hard lift of political reconciliation that ultimately protects our interests against the future rise of ISIS or a follow on organization.  So I-I-I understand how sensitive this is because you're talking about the lives of American personnel there but the risk of a longterm political withdrawal from Baghdad could, in the end, cost as many American lives as we are saving in the short run.  And that's just something that I hope the State Dept is contemplating.  Thank you, Mr. Chairman.

The State Dept and the Defense Dept are trying yet again to do what they've tried for 16 years now and counting -- have the puppet government put down roots.  It's not supported by the people.  That's the real reason that US troops remain in Iraq.  The puppet government remains unpopular and it also remains corrupt and ineffective which only increases its unpopularity.

But that's who the US government has elected to get into bed with.

"I would say that we're partners," insisted  Joan Polaschik  to Senator Tim Kaine.  Of course, she also said with a straight fact that "This Iraqi government in particular has made it very clear that it's -- it is intent upon, uh, ensuring Iraq's sovereignty, it's independence, uh, it's unified democratic status."

Wow.  They're clear on that, are they?  But then we've heard that every four years about each of the puppet governments.  It's never come to fruition because they really don't want a unified democrat nation.  They are Shi'ite cowards who fled Iraq and only returned after the US invaded.  The US government keeps putting these cowards in charge and these cowards come with a huge chip on their shoulder and are unable to move Iraq forward because, among other things, they are out for vengeance, determined to settle old scores -- real and imagined.

Senator Tim Kaine: And the current government continues to want US engagement as they pursue that strategy, correct?

 Joan Polaschik: Absolutely.  We are there at the invitation of the Iraqi government.

Senator Tim Kaine: Mr. Mulroy, how would you describe the relationship?

Michael P. Mulroy: I completely agree, sir, it's a partnership.  And I think -- I think they would actually say the same thing specific to the government of Iraq.  If you look at the president, Barham Salih, used to be the chairman of the, uh, American University in Salahuddin and I think most of my colleagues have known him for 10 or 15 years in the Dept of Defense.  The prime minister is very similar relationships.  Uh, the Speaker of the House, [Mohamed] al-Halbousi, he worked very closely with us when he was the governor of Anbar and many of us know him.  So it's, uh, I think they talk to us pretty bluntly and I think we know what they're saying when they're saying it and I think that we both view this as a longterm partnership because we have been together so long.

 Let's move over to another continuing problem, the Turkish government's violation of Iraqi sovereignty.  This has taken place over and over, year after year.  From time to time, an Iraqi official, usually the Foreign Affairs Minister, will speak out against Turkey bombing northern Iraq or Turkey's military entering northern Iraq.  Turkey doesn't care and the US government sticks its head in the dirt.

Wednesday's snapshot noted that a Turkish diplomat and two other people were killed at an Erbil restaurant.  The diplomat was Osman Kose.  The Turkish government is attempting to use this killing to justify even bolder violations of Iraq's sovereignty.  ALJAZEERA reported, "Turkey on Thursday launched an air attack on the Kurdish region in northern Iraq in response to the killing of a Turkish diplomat in the region, the country's defence minister said."  DEUTSCHE WELLE noted:

Turkey carried out an airstrike on Iraqi Kurdistan on Thursday in retaliation for the killing of a Turkish diplomat in the region, the Defense Ministry said Friday.

Defense Minister Hulusi Akar said the airforce had "launched the most comprehensive air operation on Qandil," a difficult-to-reach area of Northern Iraq where the Turkish separatist Kurdistan Workers' Party (PKK) has its headquarters, according to the AFP news agency.

Retaliation?  Don't we just love governments that act like the mafia?

Back and forth, back and forth, no one breaks the cycle because apparently there are no grown ups in the room.

Turkish citizens attack tourists wearing Kurdistan scarves

Nine tourists from northern Iraq were attacked by residents of Turkey’s north-eastern province of Trabzon while having their photo taken with scarves on which the word Kurdistan is written, Gazete Duvar news portal …

The US government Tweeted about the attack.  We'll note that and the only response the Tweet has received.

. spoke with Turkish Foreign Minister , expressed condolences regarding July 17 attack in Erbil, which resulted in the death of a Turkish diplomat, and reaffirmed commitment to addressing Turkish security concerns along the Turkey-Syria border.

Replying to   and

It was just a set up so Turkey could attack Iraq again which they did.

There's something really sad and embarrassing when the US State Dept's spokesperson -- currently Morgan Ortagus -- Tweets to express sympathy over a death and can't even name the person who was killed.  Did no one notice that?  Did no one ask, "Hey, Morgan, you're Tweeting a sympathy Tweet on Saturday, three days after the man was shot dead, and you're not even going to include his name in the Tweet?"  Again, his name was Osman Kose.

ALJAZEERA reports:

The main suspect in the killing of a Turkish diplomat in the Iraqi city of Erbil has been arrested, authorities in semi-autonomous Kurdish region have announced.
"The Kurdistan Region announced on Saturday the arrest of a man who planned the assassination of a Turkish diplomat in a restaurant in Erbil, less than a week after the attack," the Asayish internal security service said in a statement.

The following sites updated: